ENHANCE Study: More Much Ado About Suboptimal Data

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Schering-Plough, Merck, and the delayed ENHANCE study results continue to receive negative attention thanks to the recent salvo of Congressional letters to the drugmakers and others. The WSJ Health Blog reported yesterday that Representatives John Dingell and Bart Stupak (leaders of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce) sent a letter to SP's CEO, Fred Hassan, and to the CEO of Merck (comarketer of Vytorin [ezetimibe/simvastatin]), Richard T. Clark, asking follow-up questions generated by SP's ENHANCE study timeline. Specifically, the congressmen want to know the names of the SP biostatisticians who were involved in the "routine quality review" of the ultrasound data as early as 2005.

 

The congressmen also fired off a letter to Andrew C. von Eschenbach, MD, FDA Commissioner, asking for the agency’s protocol information on the ENHANCE trial. And last, not to leave cyberspace out of the mix, the Representatives sent a letter to the webmaster of the freewheeling Cafepharma, asking for the identities of anonymous (and presumed insider) posters who indicated that they knew about the negative ENHANCE results as early as March 2007.

 

Now this last, arguably laughable Congressional step amounts to wanting to know who scribbled what graffiti on the wall of a public restroom.* However, the representatives, perhaps sensing the absurdity of their request, do give the website operators an out by stating, "If such information is not available, please provide your companies' policies relating to maintaining and/or storing such information relating to messages posted on Cafepharma.com"—to which Cafepharma is likely to reply with their privacy policy ensuring anonymous message-board posting.

 

No matter. The ENHANCE timeline provided by SP clearly indicates that their biostatisticians knew of data-quality problems during the latter of half of 2005. It'd be surprising if that information hadn't percolated up the SP executive ladder by 2006. Now whether insider knowledge of the ENHANCE data influenced SP or Merck execs to unload stock is yet to be determined. But the answer hinges on whether execs were sufficiently clairvoyant to know that suboptimal data from a relatively small study in a population with an uncommon form of genetically determined atherosclerosis would attract such fanatical attention.

 

And if I’ve written it once, I’ll write it again: Given the poor quality of the ultrasound data in the ENHANCE study, we still don't know if the combination of ezetimibe and simvastatin is associated with greater atherosclerotic-plaque stability, or even reduction, than simvastatin alone in patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia.

 

*I’m sure there's a joke to be made here about the attraction between Congressmen and public restrooms, but I can't quite work out a draft.

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2 Comments

Insider said:

bmartinmd

I think you have swallowed a red herring.

Do you think SP would have called ENHANCE a small study in an unusual population if the result had been positive?

No siree.

It would have been touted like AZ have touted METEOR - licence change and all!


PS love your blog, and Mitchell and Webb and The Innocents!

bmartin Author Profile Page said:

I'm not sure that "red herring" is the turn of phrase you really mean, but in any event...Believe it or don't, my description of the ENHANCE study as small and in an uncommon population preceded my viewing of SP's performance/earnings report of last week. So I didn't swallow anybody's anything; I came up with that conclusion (aka reality check) on my own.

Now, how SP would have promoted positive results and how that would have affected the use of Vytorin is anybody's guess. But the what-if point is off-point when discussing whether SP execs could have anticipated the high-profile fallout from the negative (or really, inconclusive) ENHANCE results.

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This page contains a single entry by bmartin published on February 12, 2008 1:45 PM.

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